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It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter.
2024 Presidential Election Polls This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used.
Compare the current 2024 Presidential map projections of various political pundits. Use any of the maps to create and share your own 2024 forecast
As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed. The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2024 presidential election. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times. There are a wide range of possible outcomes for the 2024 presidential election.
The 2024 Harris vs. Trump electoral map based on public opinion polling. Where no polling is available, the Biden-Trump average is used.
The current 2024 electoral college outlook from CNN: "The 2024 presidential electoral battleground map has proved to be remarkably stable over the past two months after the race was reshaped with Vice President Kamala Harris’ elevation to the top of the Democratic ticket."
The 2024 Presidential Election Simulator and related statistics are now available on 270toWin. You can conduct individual simulated elections on your own or review the results of 25,000 simulations conducted each morning.
On this page, you can see how the probability of a Harris or Trump election win and the median electoral votes for each have evolved over time. There is also a results distribution graphic for the most recent day.
Who will control the Congress? Review and predict the outcome of the 435 House races in the 2024 election.