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That undershoot of 3 points follows polls in 2020 that underestimated Trump's national margin by 4 points and in 2016 that underestimated his performance by 2 points, according to 538's averages.
Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. According to ...
Harris lead has shrunk since last week's polls results. 270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 0.7% over Trump while in the Pennsylvania poll Trump leads ... These numbers were ...
Just before Election Day, national polls indicate a tight presidential race. How accurate are the polls, and when will we know who won?
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 48.5% over Trump 45.9% compared to Harris 48.5% over Trump 45.8% last week, compared to Harris 48.3% over Trump 45.6% two weeks ago ...
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 48.0% over Trump 46.7% — compared to last week Harris 48.2% over ... These numbers were reflected as of Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024 ...
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 47.1% to Trump 44.4% compared to one week ago - Harris 47.1% to Trump at 43.9% and ... These numbers were reflected as of Tuesday ...