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The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
Prediction markets show very accurate forecasts of an election outcome. One example is the Iowa Electronic Markets. In a study, 964 election polls were compared with the five US presidential elections from 1988 to 2004. Berg et al. (2008) showed that the Iowa Electronic Markets topped the polls 74% of the time. [11]
Country President Parliament Lower House Upper House Abkhazia 2020: 2022 Afghanistan Autocracy [1] [2] [3] (2016; installed 2021) Appointed [4] Åland Indirectly-elected: 2023 Albania
Key 1 (Party Mandate): After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than it did after the previous midterm elections.
Live election results and related data for Senate, House and governor's races Senate Outlook 2014 Forecasts for 2014’s Senate races, based on HuffPost Pollster’s poll-tracking model
This national electoral calendar for 2024 lists the national/federal elections held in 2024 in all sovereign states and their dependent territories. By-elections are excluded, though national referendums are included.
Distinguished American University, Washington, D.C. history professor Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted 9 out of the last 10 U.S. presidential elections. Lichtman earned his doctorate from ...
This is a list of the next general elections around the world in sovereign states. The general elections listed are for the government of each jurisdiction. These elections determine the prime minister and makeup of the legislature in a parliamentary democracy, or the president and then the legislature in a system where separate votes are taken for different tiers of government.