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  2. Principle of maximum caliber - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principle_of_maximum_caliber

    The principle of maximum caliber (MaxCal) or maximum path entropy principle, suggested by E. T. Jaynes, [1] can be considered as a generalization of the principle of maximum entropy. It postulates that the most unbiased probability distribution of paths is the one that maximizes their Shannon entropy. This entropy of paths is sometimes called ...

  3. Orders of magnitude (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orders_of_magnitude...

    9.9×1010: Gaussian distribution: probability of a value being more than 6 standard deviations from the mean on a specific side [8] 109: Nano-(n) 1×109: One in 1,000,000,000 3.9×109: Probability of an entry winning the jackpot in the Mega Millions multi-state lottery in the United States* [9] 5.707×109

  4. Maximal entropy random walk - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maximal_Entropy_Random_Walk

    To practically use such long sequences, after 1 we have to use 0, but there remains a freedom of choosing the probability of 0 after 0. Let us denote this probability by , then entropy coding would allow encoding a message using this chosen probability distribution. The stationary probability distribution of symbols for a given turns out to be

  5. Reflection principle (Wiener process) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reflection_principle...

    In the theory of probability for stochastic processes, the reflection principle for a Wiener process states that if the path of a Wiener process f(t) reaches a value f(s) = a at time t = s, then the subsequent path after time s has the same distribution as the reflection of the subsequent path about the value a. [1]

  6. Outline of probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outline_of_probability

    The certainty that is adopted can be described in terms of a numerical measure, and this number, between 0 and 1 (where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty) is called the probability. Probability theory is used extensively in statistics , mathematics , science and philosophy to draw conclusions about the likelihood of potential ...

  7. Probability of direction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_of_direction

    The probability of direction has a direct correspondence with the frequentist one-sided p-value through the formula = and to the two-sided p-value through the formula = (). Thus, a two-sided p -value of respectively .1, .05, .01 and .001 would correspond approximately to a pd of 95%, 97.5%, 99.5% and 99.95%. [ 10 ]

  8. Gibbs measure - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gibbs_measure

    In physics and mathematics, the Gibbs measure, named after Josiah Willard Gibbs, is a probability measure frequently seen in many problems of probability theory and statistical mechanics. It is a generalization of the canonical ensemble to infinite systems.

  9. Onsager–Machlup function - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onsager–Machlup_function

    and Δt i = t i+1 − t i > 0, t 1 = 0 and t n = T. A similar approximation is possible for processes in higher dimensions. The approximation is more accurate for smaller time step sizes Δt i, but in the limit Δt i → 0 the probability density function becomes ill defined, one reason being that the product of terms