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The Economist reports that superforecasters are clever (with a good mental attitude), but not necessarily geniuses. It reports on the treasure trove of data coming from The Good Judgment Project, showing that accurately selected amateur forecasters (and the confidence they had in their forecasts) were often more accurately tuned than experts. [1]
Harvard Business Review began in 1922 [6] as a magazine for Harvard Business School. Founded under the auspices of Dean Wallace Donham, HBR was meant to be more than just a typical school publication. "The paper [HBR] is intended to be the highest type of business journal that we can make it, and for use by the student and the business man. It ...
The Success Equation: Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports, and Investing Harvard Business Review Press, 2012; Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition Harvard Business School Press, 2009; More Than You Know: Finding Financial Wisdom in Unconventional Places Columbia University Press, 2006
The Conference Board reported that its consumer confidence index retreated this month to 104.1, from 109.5 in December. That is worse than the economist projections for a reading of 105.8.
Nonetheless, the Buy-On-Dips Confidence Index divergence may go some small way toward undercutting the popular belief that the stock market won't -- or can't -- reach a peak until the little guy ...
In 2021, this case study appeared in an article in the Negotiation Journal titled "Dealmaking Disrupted: The Unexplored Power of Social Media in Negotiation" [2] and in a Harvard Business Review article titled "A Playbook for Negotiators in the Social Media Era," [15] co-authored with James Sebenius, David Lax and Ben Cook.
The Conference Board, a business research group, said Tuesday that its consumer confidence index rose to 103.3 in August from 101.9 in July. July's figure was revised up to 81.1 from its initial ...
The second dimension, Resources, reflects the ability of individuals to pursue their dominant self-orientation and includes full-range of physical, psychological, demographic, and material means such as self-confidence, interpersonal skills, inventiveness, intelligence, eagerness to buy, money, position, education, etc.