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Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
Based on 538’s latest analysis of presidential polls, Trump now has the barest advantage in the race, with a 52-in-100 chance to win. Two weeks ago, Harris had a 58-in-100 chance to win. Two ...
Polls before the Nov. 5 vote had shown Trump trailing Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris by 1 percentage point, according to an average of dozens of national opinion polls compiled by 538, a ...
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading nationally at 48.1% to Trump at 46.4% as of Monday, Oct. 21. 270towin shows Harris leading the national polls at 49.2% over Trump at 46.6% as of Monday ...
The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.
Presidential election polls 2024: Latest surveys on Harris vs. Trump with 4 days to go đź“ŠATLAS POLLS - SWING STATES Harris leads in only one of the 7 decisive swing states for the Electoral ...
A pair of polls from USA TODAY/Suffolk University this week found Trump in a stronger "blue wall" position than the CNN polls: leading Harris 48%-47% in Wisconsin and tied with Harris at 47% in ...
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...