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In statistics, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a class of algorithms used to draw samples from a probability distribution.Given a probability distribution, one can construct a Markov chain whose elements' distribution approximates it – that is, the Markov chain's equilibrium distribution matches the target distribution.
They provide the basis for general stochastic simulation methods known as Markov chain Monte Carlo, which are used for simulating sampling from complex probability distributions, and have found application in areas including Bayesian statistics, biology, chemistry, economics, finance, information theory, physics, signal processing, and speech ...
Monte Carlo simulation: Drawing a large number of pseudo-random uniform variables from the interval [0,1] at one time, or once at many different times, and assigning values less than or equal to 0.50 as heads and greater than 0.50 as tails, is a Monte Carlo simulation of the behavior of repeatedly tossing a coin.
GNU MCSim a simulation and numerical integration package, with fast Monte Carlo and Markov chain Monte Carlo capabilities. ML.NET is a free-software machine-learning library for the C# programming language. [4] [5] NAG Library is an extensive software library of highly optimized numerical-analysis routines for various programming environments.
Markov chains with generator matrices or block matrices of this form are called M/G/1 type Markov chains, [13] a term coined by Marcel F. Neuts. [ 14 ] [ 15 ] An M/G/1 queue has a stationary distribution if and only if the traffic intensity ρ = λ E ( G ) {\displaystyle \rho =\lambda \mathbb {E} (G)} is less than 1, in which case the unique ...
Simfit – simulation, curve fitting, statistics, and plotting; SOCR; SOFA Statistics – desktop GUI program focused on ease of use, learn as you go, and beautiful output; Stan (software) – open-source package for obtaining Bayesian inference using the No-U-Turn sampler, a variant of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo. It is somewhat like BUGS, but ...
In this context, the Markov property indicates that the distribution for this variable depends only on the distribution of a previous state. An example use of a Markov chain is Markov chain Monte Carlo, which uses the Markov property to prove that a particular method for performing a random walk will sample from the joint distribution.
A game of snakes and ladders or any other game whose moves are determined entirely by dice is a Markov chain, indeed, an absorbing Markov chain. This is in contrast to card games such as blackjack, where the cards represent a 'memory' of the past moves. To see the difference, consider the probability for a certain event in the game.