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  2. Linear trend estimation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_trend_estimation

    Also, where the variations are significantly larger than the resulting straight line trend, the choice of start and end points can significantly change the result. That is, the model is mathematically misspecified. Statistical inferences (tests for the presence of a trend, confidence intervals for the trend, etc.) are invalid unless departures ...

  3. Confidence and prediction bands - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_and_prediction...

    Confidence bands can be constructed around estimates of the empirical distribution function.Simple theory allows the construction of point-wise confidence intervals, but it is also possible to construct a simultaneous confidence band for the cumulative distribution function as a whole by inverting the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, or by using non-parametric likelihood methods.

  4. Curve fitting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curve_fitting

    Curve fitting [1] [2] is the process of constructing a curve, or mathematical function, that has the best fit to a series of data points, [3] possibly subject to constraints. [ 4 ] [ 5 ] Curve fitting can involve either interpolation , [ 6 ] [ 7 ] where an exact fit to the data is required, or smoothing , [ 8 ] [ 9 ] in which a "smooth ...

  5. Linear interpolation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_interpolation

    Given the two red points, the blue line is the linear interpolant between the points, and the value y at x may be found by linear interpolation.. In mathematics, linear interpolation is a method of curve fitting using linear polynomials to construct new data points within the range of a discrete set of known data points.

  6. Method of moments (statistics) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Method_of_moments_(statistics)

    In statistics, the method of moments is a method of estimation of population parameters. The same principle is used to derive higher moments like skewness and kurtosis. It starts by expressing the population moments (i.e., the expected values of powers of the random variable under consideration) as functions of the parameters of interest. Those ...

  7. Spline (mathematics) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spline_(mathematics)

    Triple knots at both ends of the interval ensure that the curve interpolates the end points In mathematics , a spline is a function defined piecewise by polynomials . In interpolating problems, spline interpolation is often preferred to polynomial interpolation because it yields similar results, even when using low degree polynomials, while ...

  8. Riemann sum - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riemann_sum

    In high generality, Riemann sums can be written = (), where stands for any arbitrary point contained in the set and is a measure on the underlying set. Roughly speaking, a measure is a function that gives a "size" of a set, in this case the size of the set V i {\displaystyle V_{i}} ; in one dimension this can often be interpreted as a length ...

  9. Likelihood function - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood_function

    The basic way to maximize a differentiable function is to find the stationary points (the points where the derivative is zero); since the derivative of a sum is just the sum of the derivatives, but the derivative of a product requires the product rule, it is easier to compute the stationary points of the log-likelihood of independent events ...