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But the world’s largest economies are already there: The total fertility rate among the OECD’s 38 member countries dropped to just 1.5 children per woman in 2022 from 3.3 children in 1960.
The declining fertility rate became more concerning following the Great Recession between 2007 and 2009, when fertility rates dropped below 2.1 children per woman.
Generally a developed country has a lower fertility rate while a less economically developed country has a higher fertility rate. For example the total fertility rate for Japan, a developed country with per capita GDP of US$32,600 in 2009, was 1.22 children born per woman. But total fertility rate in Ethiopia, with a per capita GDP of $900 in ...
Women in the United States are having babies less often, and the fertility rate reached a record low in 2023, according to data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
China experienced a demographic transition with high death rate and low fertility rate from 1959 to 1961 due to the great famine. [4] However, as a result of the economic improvement, the birth rate increased and mortality rate declined in China before the early 1970s. [ 7 ]
One study from Denmark projects an increase in fertility, as a result of ART, that could increase the 1975 birth cohort by 5%. [1] In addition, ART seems to challenge the biological limits of successful childbearing. [1] Immigration sometimes increases fertility rates of a country because of the births to the immigrant groups. [35]
As life expectancies increase and fertility rates decrease, the world’s population will grow older. Projections show that those 65 and older will outnumber children younger than 18 by 2080.
A 2023 map of countries by fertility rate. Blue indicates negative fertility rates. Red indicates positive rates. The total fertility rate (TFR) of a population is the average number of children that are born to a woman over her lifetime, if they were to experience the exact current age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) through their lifetime, and they were to live from birth until the end of ...