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PredictIt - Trump & Harris Tied. Posted on 7/31/24 at 12:14 pm. Posted by IMSA_Fan. Member since Jul 2024 ...
Nikos Bosseis a medical doctor and a researcher at Metaculus.
Predictit It was holding steady with MAGA at 63. Now it’s just 53 MAGA / 50 Harris The betting public has shifted immensely in the last week.
Metaculus is an online forecasting platform and aggregation engine working to improve human reasoning and coordination on topics of global importance.
Predictit market pricing in a Harris victory - Still a distance to go, but the election went from a near-lock for Trump to a complete tossup in the past 3 weeks.
Harris has been the betting favorite on PredictIt from the time she became the nominee on August 5th until 3 days ago. Harris’ drop started on 9/25 or 9/26. Helene first hit on 9/26. Then the VP debate was on 10/01. I think these two events were the main catalysts for the flip.
There's a lot of swing investors on PredictIt that occurs b/c it's such a tightly capped investment (max position is only $850) so you have WAY fewer long term investors. Polymarket is uncapped which makes it a FAR better indicator. PredictIt has guys like me who are temporarily on Harris b/c we knew she was going to pop.
PredictIt political odds thread - Those are that trade on that market, what markets do you think offer the best risk/reward?
Predictit.org? Posted on 7/17/24 at 9:47 am. Posted by IvoryBillMatt. Member since Mar 2020. 1827 posts ...
Discover essential forecasting tools and resources. Learn about analysis software, data sources, and expert tips to enhance your prediction skills and accuracy.