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In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...
Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. ... 50.7% to 48.4%. The Georgia win puts Trump at 246 ...
November 5, 2024 at 10:14 AM Polling guru Nate Silver has revealed his final prediction model for the 2024 presidential election – and has concluded the race between Kamala Harris and Donald ...
As of Nov. 1, Harris and Trump were separated by just 1.2% in nationwide polling averages compiled by 538. MORE: What you need to know about the Electoral College as 2024 race nears end
Polls in 2024: Low error, medium bias. Despite the early narrative swirling around in the media, 2024 was a pretty good year to be a pollster. According to 538's analysis of polls conducted in ...
The number of electoral votes, out of 538, allocated to each state and the District of Columbia for presidential elections held in 2024 and to be held in 2028 based on the 2020 census. Every jurisdiction is entitled to at least 3.
2024 United States presidential election ← 2020 November 5, 2024 [a] 2028 → 538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win Opinion polls Turnout 63.9% (2.7 pp) Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida California Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz Electoral vote 312 [b] 226 [b] States carried 31 + ME-02 19 + DC + NE-02 Popular ...
Based on 538’s latest analysis of presidential polls, Trump now has the barest advantage in the race, with a 52-in-100 chance to win. Two weeks ago, Harris had a 58-in-100 chance to win. Two ...