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  2. Overconfidence effect - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overconfidence_effect

    The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person's subjective confidence in their judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. [1] [2] Overconfidence is one example of a miscalibration of subjective probabilities.

  3. Illusory superiority - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusory_superiority

    Personality characteristics vary widely between people and have been found to moderate the effects of illusory superiority, one of the main examples of this is self-esteem. Brown (1986) found that in self-evaluations of positive characteristics participants with higher self-esteem showed greater illusory superiority bias than participants with ...

  4. List of cognitive biases - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases

    Overconfidence effect, a tendency to have excessive confidence in one's own answers to questions. For example, for certain types of questions, answers that people rate as "99% certain" turn out to be wrong 40% of the time. [5] [43] [44] [45] Planning fallacy, the tendency for people to underestimate the time it will take them to complete a ...

  5. 103 Times People Came Across Such Confidently Wrong ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/103-times-people-came-across...

    Scroll down to find the most hilarious times cocky people got things totally wrong, and be sure to upvote the ones that deservingly got torn apart by the overconfidence police. #1 Everybody Can ...

  6. The Overconfidence Conversation - AOL

    www.aol.com/2013/01/16/the-overconfidence...

    Overconfidence is a very serious problem, but you probably think it doesn't affect you. That's the tricky thing with overconfidence: The people who are most overconfident are the ones least likely ...

  7. Cognitive bias - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_bias

    They found that the participants who ate more of the unhealthy snack food, tended to have less inhibitory control and more reliance on approach bias. Others have also hypothesized that cognitive biases could be linked to various eating disorders and how people view their bodies and their body image.

  8. Overconfidence Games: Why to Be Wary of Advisers Who Are '100 ...

    www.aol.com/news/on-overconfident-advisors...

    For example: A classic study found that when students were asked to spell words and estimate their accuracy, those with 100 percent confidence were accurate only about 80 percent of the time, and ...

  9. Moral Injury: The Grunts - The ... - The Huffington Post

    projects.huffingtonpost.com/moral-injury/the-grunts

    Most people enter military service “with the fundamental sense that they are good people and that they are doing this for good purposes, on the side of freedom and country and God,” said Dr. Wayne Jonas, a military physician for 24 years and president and CEO of the Samueli Institute, a non-profit health research organization. “But things ...

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