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An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll (although strictly a poll is an actual election), is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or ...
A poll is a survey (a measuring tool) which determines the current state of a situation, with respect to consensus. It doesn't form consensus. It merely measures it. In the same way that a ruler does not change the length of your finger or make a new finger (it merely measures it), a poll does not change or make consensus.
Survey methodology is "the study of survey methods". [1] As a field of applied statistics concentrating on human-research surveys, survey methodology studies the sampling of individual units from a population and associated techniques of survey data collection, such as questionnaire construction and methods for improving the number and accuracy of responses to surveys.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll is designed to be nationally representative. That can limit its utility in projecting the outcome of presidential elections, which are decided on astate-by-state basis.
Many interpret the “margin of error,” commonly reported for public opinion polls, as accounting for all potential errors from a survey. It does not. There are many non-sampling errors, common to all surveys, that can include effects due to question wording and misreporting by respondents.
Bias in surveys is undesirable, but often unavoidable. The major types of bias that may occur in the sampling process are: Non-response bias: When individuals or households selected in the survey sample cannot or will not complete the survey there is the potential for bias to result from this non-response.
the minimum level of approval required for the poll to enter the "go" state. It is usually a high number such as 80% or 90%. If the level of approval drops below the consensus threshold, then the poll goes out of the "go" state. "go timer" the amount of time that must elapse between a poll entering the "go" state and successfully concluding.
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