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In statistics, point estimation involves the use of sample data to calculate a single value (known as a point estimate since it identifies a point in some parameter space) which is to serve as a "best guess" or "best estimate" of an unknown population parameter (for example, the population mean).
In statistics, an estimator is a rule for calculating an estimate of a given quantity based on observed data: thus the rule (the estimator), the quantity of interest (the estimand) and its result (the estimate) are distinguished. [1] For example, the sample mean is a commonly used estimator of the population mean. There are point and interval ...
These values are used to calculate an E value for the estimate and a standard deviation (SD) as L-estimators, where: E = (a + 4m + b) / 6 SD = (b − a) / 6. E is a weighted average which takes into account both the most optimistic and most pessimistic estimates provided. SD measures the variability or uncertainty in the estimate.
The red population has mean 100 and variance 100 (SD=10) while the blue population has mean 100 and variance 2500 (SD=50) where SD stands for Standard Deviation. In probability theory and statistics , variance is the expected value of the squared deviation from the mean of a random variable .
Consider the sample (4, 7, 13, 16) from an infinite population. Based on this sample, the estimated population mean is 10, and the unbiased estimate of population variance is 30. Both the naïve algorithm and two-pass algorithm compute these values correctly.
This results in an approximately-unbiased estimator for the variance of the sample mean. [48] This means that samples taken from the bootstrap distribution will have a variance which is, on average, equal to the variance of the total population. Histograms of the bootstrap distribution and the smooth bootstrap distribution appear below.
However the converse is false: There exist point-estimation problems for which the minimum-variance mean-unbiased estimator is inefficient. [6] Historically, finite-sample efficiency was an early optimality criterion. However this criterion has some limitations: Finite-sample efficient estimators are extremely rare.
For a normal distribution with unknown mean and variance, the sample mean and (unbiased) sample variance are the MVUEs for the population mean and population variance. However, the sample standard deviation is not unbiased for the population standard deviation – see unbiased estimation of standard deviation.