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The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.
The 2024 United Kingdom general election was held on 4 July 2024. This list shows the most marginal seats, ie those needing the smallest swing to be won by each of the political parties, according to notional results from the previous election in 2019, as applied to the 2024 constituency boundaries.
Bristol Central was a new seat at the 2024 general election. The Green Party candidate was one of its co-leaders, Carla Denyer. The Labour Party candidate was the Shadow Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport, Thangam Debbonaire.
The Conservatives led the polls for the two years following the 2019 general election, which included Brexit, the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and vaccine rollout during the leadership of Boris Johnson. Labour took a lead following the Partygate scandal and maintained this through the Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak premierships until the 2024 ...
Polls see the Tory lead widen, with the odds and predictions stacked in favor of Johnson, which should be Sterling positive…
Results of the July 2024 general election to the House of Commons of the United Kingdom [4] [5] Affiliate Leader Candidates MPs Aggregate votes Total Gained [c] Lost [c] Net Of total (%) Total Of total (%) Change (%) Labour: Keir Starmer: 631 411 218 7 211 63.2 9,708,716 33.70 1.6 Conservative: Rishi Sunak: 635 121 1 252 251 18.6 6,828,925 23. ...
If 2023 was the year British politics got stuck in traffic, 2024 should be the year it gets moving again. At some point in the next 12 months, it is expected that the United Kingdom will hold an ...
The prediction model comes days after a shock new poll from the Des Moines Register and Mediacom in Iowa found Harris leading Trump in the state, with 47 percent to 44 percent.. Trump won Iowa in ...