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The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
The 538 predictive model for the 2024 presidential election shows President Biden more likely to win than former President Trump — Biden’s best odds since May. The model’s Tuesday update ...
In the leadup to Biden's withdrawal, 538 was the only professional election forecaster to give Biden majority odds of winning the 2024 election. [93] Silver criticized Morris's model, describing it as at best ignoring the polls and giving Biden positive odds merely due to his incumbency, and at worst as being "buggy".
President Joe Biden dropped out of the ... ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 48.5% over Trump 46.1% compared to last week Harris was 48% over Trump 47 ...
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election.The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Nevada helped elect President Joe Biden in 2020, ... The 2024 polls. ... Harris leads by about 1 point in 538's polling average of the state.*
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...