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Turning back to the 2024 race and the most likely state to decide it, the 538 forecast’s current median projection f or Pennsylvania is about a 1-point victory for Harris. To be clear, that ...
This time around, with 97 percent of the expected vote reporting, Trump leads by 2.3 points over Harris, 50.7% to 48.4%. The Georgia win puts Trump at 246 electoral votes, with just 24 more needed ...
As of Oct. 30 at 11:30 a.m. Eastern, our forecast gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance to win the White House and Harris a near-identical 48-in-100 chance. The model arrives at that probability by ...
This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election.The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Others/ Undecided [a]Margin 270toWin [1]: through November 4, 2024
Harris had been leading Trump according to bookmakers for about a month before Tuesday's vice presidential debate. According to realclearpolling.com, Harris now has a 49.4% chance to win November ...
Harris also expressed support for student debt relief, [402] and said she supported raising the minimum wage. [ 403 ] In response to the housing crisis in the United States , Harris said she would increase home construction to reduce housing costs, arguing that it negatively impacts the economy and hurts working-class families.
J. Ann Selzer's once-respected poll showed that Kamala Harris was leading in Iowa — only for Trump to win the state by more than 13 percentage points on Election Day.