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The 2022 projections from the United Nations Population Division (chart #1) show that annual world population growth peaked at 2.3% per year in 1963, has since dropped to 0.9% in 2023, equivalent to about 74 million people each year, and could drop even further to minus 0.1% by 2100. [4]
Population of the present-day top seven most-populous countries, 1800 to 2100. Future projections are based on the 2024 UN's medium-fertility scenario. Chart created by Our World In Data in 2024. The following is a list of countries by past and projected future population. This assumes that countries stay constant in the unforeseeable future ...
The table below shows annual population growth rate history and projections for various areas, countries, regions and sub-regions from various sources for various time periods. The right-most column shows a projection for the time period shown using the medium fertility variant. Preceding columns show actual history.
P 0 = P(0) is the initial population size, r = the population growth rate, which Ronald Fisher called the Malthusian parameter of population growth in The Genetical Theory of Natural Selection, [2] and Alfred J. Lotka called the intrinsic rate of increase, [3] [4] t = time. The model can also be written in the form of a differential equation:
The 2022 projections from the United Nations Population Division (chart #1) show that annual world population growth peaked at 2.3% per year in 1963, has since dropped to 0.9% in 2023, equivalent to about 74 million people each year, and could drop even further to minus 0.1% by 2100. [101]
A population projection, in the field of demography, is an estimate of a future population. It is usually based on current population estimates derived from the most recent census plus a projection of possible changes based on assumptions of future births, deaths, and any migration into or out of the region being studied. [1]
For example, say one wants to calculate with a calculator N 10, the population at the tenth generation, knowing N 0 the initial population and λ the finite rate of increase. With the last formula, the result is immediate by plugging t = 10 , whether with the previous one it is necessary to know N 9 , N 8 , ..., N 2 until N 1 .
UN estimates (as of 2017) for world population by continent in 2000 and in 2050 (pie chart size to scale) Asia Africa Europe Central/South America North America Oceania. Population estimates for world regions based on Maddison (2007), [29] in millions. The row showing total world population includes the average growth rate per year over the ...