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Example of a stopping time: a hitting time of Brownian motion.The process starts at 0 and is stopped as soon as it hits 1. In probability theory, in particular in the study of stochastic processes, a stopping time (also Markov time, Markov moment, optional stopping time or optional time [1]) is a specific type of “random time”: a random variable whose value is interpreted as the time at ...
The term strong Markov property is similar to the Markov property, except that the meaning of "present" is defined in terms of a random variable known as a stopping time. The term Markov assumption is used to describe a model where the Markov property is assumed to hold, such as a hidden Markov model .
A game of snakes and ladders or any other game whose moves are determined entirely by dice is a Markov chain, indeed, an absorbing Markov chain. This is in contrast to card games such as blackjack, where the cards represent a 'memory' of the past moves. To see the difference, consider the probability for a certain event in the game.
Another discrete-time process that may be derived from a continuous-time Markov chain is a δ-skeleton—the (discrete-time) Markov chain formed by observing X(t) at intervals of δ units of time. The random variables X (0), X (δ), X (2δ), ... give the sequence of states visited by the δ-skeleton.
The mixing time of a Markov chain is the number of steps needed for this convergence to happen, to a suitable degree of accuracy. A family of Markov chains is said to be rapidly mixing if the mixing time is a polynomial function of some size parameter of the Markov chain, and slowly mixing otherwise. This book is about finite Markov chains ...
Markov-chains have been used as a forecasting methods for several topics, for example price trends, [8] wind power [9] and solar irradiance. [10] The Markov-chain forecasting models utilize a variety of different settings, from discretizing the time-series [ 9 ] to hidden Markov-models combined with wavelets [ 8 ] and the Markov-chain mixture ...
For example, if the renewal process is modelling the numbers of breakdown of different machines, then the holding time represents the time between one machine breaking down before another one does. The Poisson process is the unique renewal process with the Markov property , [ 1 ] as the exponential distribution is the unique continuous random ...
A semi-Markov process (defined in the above bullet point) in which all the holding times are exponentially distributed is called a continuous-time Markov chain. In other words, if the inter-arrival times are exponentially distributed and if the waiting time in a state and the next state reached are independent, we have a continuous-time Markov ...