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I did not change my prediction of a Trump win.” Lichtman was referring to an Access Hollywood tape leaked in early October less than a month away from election day, back in 2016 when he was ...
The so-called “Nostradamus of polling” has said that an October surprise wouldn’t change his prediction that Donald Trump will lose to Kamala Harris in the 2024 election.. Historian Allan ...
And despite the polls, which show the race is now tighter than ever between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, Lichtman stands by his prediction that the Democrat will win the White House in November.
The American political historian is known as the “Nostradamus” of elections because he has successfully predicted the last nine out of 10 presidential races since 1984. He has consistently ...
He incorrectly predicted that Kamala Harris would win the 2024 election, [10] which was instead won by Donald Trump. Lichtman and others contest the accuracy of his predictions in 2000 and 2016 , primarily in relation to whether the keys were making a popular vote or Electoral College prediction (or both).
With Donald Trump heading back to the White House, it’s not just the Democrats who face a reckoning, but pollsters as well. Multiple high-profile polling gurus failed to accurately predict what ...
List of former Trump administration officials who endorsed Kamala Harris; List of Republicans who opposed the Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign; List of Joe Biden 2024 presidential campaign primary endorsements; List of Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign endorsements; Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
Hamilton-Parker predicted two significant events of 2016: the exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union, and the election of Donald Trump as President of the United States. [1] [2] He also predicted that the post-Brexit economy of the United Kingdom would "thrive", with a strong pound and weak euro. [3]