Search results
Results from the WOW.Com Content Network
The chain-ladder or development [1] method is a prominent [2] [3] actuarial loss reserving technique. The chain-ladder method is used in both the property and casualty [1] [4] and health insurance [5] fields. Its intent is to estimate incurred but not reported claims and project ultimate loss amounts. [5]
The number of claims N is a random variable, which is said to have a "claim number distribution", and which can take values 0, 1, 2, .... etc.. For the "Panjer recursion", the probability distribution of N has to be a member of the Panjer class , otherwise known as the (a,b,0) class of distributions .
Actuarial notation is a shorthand method to allow actuaries to record mathematical formulas that deal with interest rates and life tables.. Traditional notation uses a halo system, where symbols are placed as superscript or subscript before or after the main letter.
A stochastic model is a tool for estimating probability distributions of potential outcomes by allowing for random variation in one or more inputs over time. The random variation is usually based on fluctuations observed in historical data for a selected period using standard time-series techniques.
Say we have a basketball team with a high number of points per game. Sometimes they get 128 and other times they get 130 but always one of the two. Compared to all basketball teams this is a relatively low variance, meaning that they will contribute very little to the Expected Value of the Process Variance.
In mathematics, bilinear interpolation is a method for interpolating functions of two variables (e.g., x and y) using repeated linear interpolation. It is usually applied to functions sampled on a 2D rectilinear grid , though it can be generalized to functions defined on the vertices of (a mesh of) arbitrary convex quadrilaterals .
E. Sparre Andersen extended the classical model in 1957 [8] by allowing claim inter-arrival times to have arbitrary distribution functions. [9]= + =, where the claim number process () is a renewal process and () are independent and identically distributed random variables.
When he turned his attention to the question of valuing annuities payable on more than one life, de Moivre found it convenient to drop his assumption of an equal number of deaths (per year) in favor of an assumption of equal probabilities of death at each year of age (i.e., what is now called the "constant force of mortality" assumption ...