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Follow our real-time estimates to see who’s ahead in the race between Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump.
Our live election night forecast is known as “the Needle.” Nate Cohn, chief political analyst for The New York Times, explains how it works. Why have the Needle? The purpose of the Needle is...
These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials. By The New York Times election results team: Michael Andre, Emma Baker, Neil Berg, Andrew Chavez, Michael ...
The New York Times' Needle election prediction made its debut on election night despite the strike called by the union representing tech employees.
The notorious New York Times election needles are seared into the memories of many voters, but whether these forecast barometers will go live Tuesday evening is unknown due to a strike of tech workers at the publication.
Earlier this month, the Times announced that the Needle — a predictive tool offering real-time probability estimates early on in the night — would return. In 2016, its debut was largely mocked for heavily flip-flopping and underestimating Donald Trump’s chances.
More than 600 Times engineers, product managers, data analysts, and designers went on strike today, and publisher AG Sulzberger told staff that it’s likely the strike will continue into...
Follow our real-time estimates to see who’s ahead in the race between Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump.
The New York Times NYT -3.25% launched its signature election-forecasting “Needle” online Tuesday evening, despite a continuing strike by hundreds of tech workers.
The Needle does more than just create an estimate for a candidate’s final share of the vote. It also provides a range of possibilities as to how the race might go.