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This is an electoral map based on the Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. It will be updated every four hours. Unless there is an exact tie, the toss-up color is not used in this map.
2024 Presidential Election Predictions. Trust markets, not presidential polls. Live and accurate forecasts by the world's largest prediction market.
As voters went to the polls Tuesday, bettors pushed up former President Donald Trump 's probability of winning the 2024 presidential race on multiple offshore betting markets. During the weekend ...
The probability rebounded Monday morning to 55%. Last bets on Trump or Harris? See where election odds and polls stand as America votes. How betting markets have shifted in October. The odds...
As of Friday at 7 a.m. ET, Trump's probability of winning topped 60% on Polymarket, a crypto trading platform. Those are about the odds that markets gave him when President Joe Biden dropped...
2020 U.S. President Betting Odds. RCP Betting Avg: President GOP Dem. RCP Betting Average: U.S. President | GOP Nomination | Dem Nomination.
Key Facts. Polymarket: Perhaps the most famous election betting player, the blockchain-based site still leaned toward Trump after the first closures, giving him 99.1% implied odds of victory ...
On July 16, his odds of winning were more than 70% on Polymarket and Betfair Exchange. As of Thursday at 7 a.m. ET, Trump held a 22-percentage-point edge over Harris on Polymarket. Betfair...
Presidential election prediction markets drifted Friday toward Vice President Kamala Harris, giving Harris the strongest and former President Donald Trump the weakest probability of winning...
Elon Musk, right, has promoted former President Donald J. Trump’s odds on the prediction site Polymarket. Doug Mills/The New York Times. This strength can also be seen as a weakness. Prediction...