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The volcanic winter of 536 was the most severe and protracted episode of climatic cooling in the Northern Hemisphere in the last 2,000 years. [1] The volcanic winter was caused by at least three simultaneous eruptions of uncertain origin, with several possible locations proposed in various continents.
₽358 million (€4.32 million/US$4.77 million) was the largest jackpot in Russia's Gosloto 6 to 45, won in February 2016 by one 1,800 rouble ticket. This is the largest jackpot in Russia. This is the largest jackpot in Russia.
Year 536 (Roman numerals: DXXXVI) was a leap year starting on Tuesday of the Julian calendar.At the time, it was known as the Year after the Consulship of Belisarius.. In 2018, medieval scholar Michael McCormick nominated 536 as "the worst year to be alive" because of the volcanic winter of 536 caused by a volcanic eruption early in the year, causing average temperatures in Europe and China to ...
FiveThirtyEight ' s predictions for each state primary, both for the Republican and the Democratic party nominations, were based on statistical analysis, not on the analyst's opinions. The core data employed were polls, which FiveThirtyEight aggregated for each state (while also considering national polls) using essentially the same method it ...
The accuracy of his predictions won him further acclaim, including abroad, [67] and added to his reputation as a leading political prognosticator. [68] Barack Obama's 2008 presidential campaign signed off on a proposal to share all of its private polling with Silver. After signing a confidentiality agreement, Silver was granted access to ...
2004 U.S. government predictions for oil production other than in OPEC and the former Soviet Union. The July 2007 IEA Medium-Term Oil Market Report projected a 2% non-OPEC liquids supply growth in 2007-2009, reaching 51.0 kbbl/d (8,110 m 3 /d) in 2008, receding thereafter as the slate of verifiable investment projects diminishes. They refer to ...
The Economist reports that superforecasters are clever (with a good mental attitude), but not necessarily geniuses. It reports on the treasure trove of data coming from The Good Judgment Project, showing that accurately selected amateur forecasters (and the confidence they had in their forecasts) were often more accurately tuned than experts. [1]
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden, won the Democratic primaries.