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This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the snap 2024 French legislative election, which was held in two rounds on 30 June and 7 July 2024. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission and utilize the quota method.
PARIS — Voters are headed to the polls in France for the second round of a high-stakes election that will decide whether an ascendant far right wins an absolute majority in Parliament, or if the ...
Member of Parliament for the French right-wing party National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN), Marine Le Pen at the party’s headquarters after preliminary results of the second round of the ...
Voters are heading to the polls across France to vote in the second round of a snap election called by President Emmanuel Macron, who risks losing swaths of his centrist allies in parliament and ...
An Ipsos survey suggested that the "republican front" against the RN remained fairly strong in the second round, with first-round NFP voters supporting Ensemble candidates over RN ones by a 72%–3% margin in second-round duels and first-round Ensemble voters supporting PS/LE/PCF candidates over RN ones by a 54%–15% margin in second-round ...
But this then assumes that at least three eighths of registered voters (37.5%) go to the polls, because if the first two candidates receive, de facto, as many or more votes as the 3rd (25% of registered voters minimum between them). Thus, an abstention rate exceeding 62.5% prohibits any possibility of a three-way race in the second round.
Macron was re-elected with 58.55% of the vote to 41.45% for Le Pen in the second round of the election. [78] Exit poll projections by Ipsos and Sopra Steria for France Télévisions and Radio France, released as voting closed, estimated that Macron defeated Le Pen with 58.2% of the vote to 41.8%. [79]
The outcome of the vote, following the second round on July 7 and an exceptionally brief campaign, remains highly uncertain as three major political blocs are competing: the far-right National ...