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Pollsters caution against assuming that the polls this cycle are susceptible to the same errors as previous ones that underestimated support for former President Trump, arguing that every election ...
Polls almost always undercount Trump’s support, leading him to drastically overperform pre-election assumptions. At this point in 2020, Trump trailed then-candidate Joe Biden by 7 points per the ...
Former first lady Michelle Obama is the only Democrat to beat former President Trump in a new poll Tuesday. The survey, conducted by Reuters/Ipsos, found Obama was the only Democrat with a lead on ...
The following nationwide polls feature Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is an independent candidate who suspended his campaign and endorsed Donald Trump. Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Senate Democrats are worried pollsters are once again undercounting the Trump vote and say Vice President Harris’s slim lead in battleground states, especially Pennsylvania, is cause for serious ...
After the conventions, Obama had a clear lead until he did poorly in the first debate. Romney took the lead, and the polls were tied in early and mid-October. The Democrats then regained their momentum but Obama became the first President to win re-election by a narrower margin in both the popular vote and in the Electoral College.
Polls before the Nov. 5 vote had shown Trump trailing Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris by 1 percentage point, according to an average of dozens of national opinion polls compiled by 538, a ...
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.