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The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.
This distinction is made in the tables below in the area column, where "GB" means Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), and "UK" means the entire United Kingdom. Plaid Cymru only stand candidates in Wales and the Scottish National Party (SNP) only stand candidates in Scotland .
YouGov produced a poll of seats in South West England that had elected a Conservative MP in every election since the 2015 general election and where a majority of voters were estimated to have voted to leave the European Union in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. They branded these seats the "Conservative Celtic Fringe".
The 2024 general election was held on 4 July 2024. This list shows the most marginal seats, ie those needing the smallest swing to be won by each of the political parties, according to notional results from the previous election in 2019 , as applied to the 2024 constituency boundaries.
The Conservatives won no seats in Wales and only one seat in North East England. [9] On 2 November 2024, Kemi Badenoch won the 2024 Conservative leadership election to succeed Sunak, becoming the first Black leader of any major UK political party and the second consecutive Conservative leader to be non-White. [10]
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Results of the July 2024 general election to the House of Commons of the United Kingdom [4] [5] Affiliate Leader Candidates MPs Aggregate votes Total Gained [c] Lost [c] Net Of total (%) Total Of total (%) Change (%) Labour: Keir Starmer: 631 411 218 7 211 63.2 9,708,716 33.70 1.6 Conservative: Rishi Sunak: 635 121 1 252 251 18.6 6,828,925 23. ...
A party needs 326 seats to officially win, a milestone that Labour cleared at around 5 a.m. local time on Friday, and the new government will have a commanding majority of more than 170 in the ...