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  2. p-value - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-value

    In null-hypothesis significance testing, the p-value [note 1] is the probability of obtaining test results at least as extreme as the result actually observed, under the assumption that the null hypothesis is correct. [2] [3] A very small p-value means that such an extreme observed outcome would be very unlikely under the null hypothesis.

  3. Glossary of probability and statistics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glossary_of_probability...

    Also confidence coefficient. A number indicating the probability that the confidence interval (range) captures the true population mean. For example, a confidence interval with a 95% confidence level has a 95% chance of capturing the population mean. Technically, this means that, if the experiment were repeated many times, 95% of the CIs computed at this level would contain the true population ...

  4. Statistical significance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_significance

    To determine whether a result is statistically significant, a researcher calculates a p-value, which is the probability of observing an effect of the same magnitude or more extreme given that the null hypothesis is true. [5] [12] The null hypothesis is rejected if the p-value is less than (or equal to) a predetermined level, .

  5. Fisher's method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fisher's_method

    Under Fisher's method, two small p-values P 1 and P 2 combine to form a smaller p-value.The darkest boundary defines the region where the meta-analysis p-value is below 0.05.. For example, if both p-values are around 0.10, or if one is around 0.04 and one is around 0.25, the meta-analysis p-value is around 0

  6. False positives and false negatives - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_positives_and_false...

    The term false discovery rate (FDR) was used by Colquhoun (2014) [4] to mean the probability that a "significant" result was a false positive. Later Colquhoun (2017) [2] used the term false positive risk (FPR) for the same quantity, to avoid confusion with the term FDR as used by people who work on multiple comparisons.

  7. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    A probability is a way of assigning every event a value between zero and one, with the requirement that the event made up of all possible results (in our example, the event {1,2,3,4,5,6}) is assigned a value of one. To qualify as a probability, the assignment of values must satisfy the requirement that for any collection of mutually exclusive ...

  8. Fisher's exact test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fisher's_exact_test

    Fisher's exact test (also Fisher-Irwin test) is a statistical significance test used in the analysis of contingency tables. [1] [2] [3] Although in practice it is employed when sample sizes are small, it is valid for all sample sizes.

  9. Statistical hypothesis test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_hypothesis_test

    In modern terms, he rejected the null hypothesis of equally likely male and female births at the p = 1/2 82 significance level. Laplace considered the statistics of almost half a million births. The statistics showed an excess of boys compared to girls. [5] He concluded by calculation of a p-value that the excess was a real, but unexplained ...