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A record number of women will serve as governors. ... the nonpartisan Cook Political Report said that the district was a "toss-up," and 538's forecast had it listed as "likely Democrat."
In September 2014, Silver put into the public domain all of his pollster ratings, [538 6] as well as descriptive summary data for all of the more than 6,600 polls in his data collection for the final three weeks of U.S. presidential primaries and general elections, state governor elections, and U.S. Senate and U.S. Congress elections for the ...
Turning back to the 2024 race and the most likely state to decide it, the 538 forecast’s current median projection f or Pennsylvania is about a 1-point victory for Harris. To be clear, that ...
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
[3] [104] Silver retained the IP of 538's election forecasting model as he left, [105] and in June 2024, released his own election forecasting model at Silver Bulletin, using methodology similar to his model at 538. [3] [106] In June 2024, Silver joined the prediction market startup Polymarket as an advisor. [4]
Steve Marchand, former mayor of Portsmouth and candidate for governor in 2016 and 2018 [36] Chris Pappas, U.S. representative for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district (ran for re-election) [37] Tom Sherman, former state senator and nominee for governor in 2022 [38]
On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is to combine polling data (say, on which party Americans want to control ...
6.1 Predictions. 6.2 ... This was the first gubernatorial election in Michigan history in which both major party candidates for governor were ... 538 [121 ] Likely D ...