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Turning back to the 2024 race and the most likely state to decide it, the 538 forecast’s current median projection f or Pennsylvania is about a 1-point victory for Harris. To be clear, that ...
A record number of women will serve as governors. ... the nonpartisan Cook Political Report said that the district was a "toss-up," and 538's forecast had it listed as "likely Democrat."
According to 538's forecast, both candidates have a roughly equal chance to win. Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White ...
In September 2014, Silver put into the public domain all of his pollster ratings, [538 6] as well as descriptive summary data for all of the more than 6,600 polls in his data collection for the final three weeks of U.S. presidential primaries and general elections, state governor elections, and U.S. Senate and U.S. Congress elections for the ...
Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings: "tossup": no advantage
Governor Doug Burgum was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 65.8% of the vote. In the November 2022 elections, voters amended the North Dakota Constitution to place a limit of two, four-year terms for succeeding governors sworn into office after the amendment's effective date of January 1, 2023. [ 24 ]
According to 538's analysis of polls conducted in competitive states* in which over 95 percent of the expected vote was counted as of Nov. 8 at 6 a.m. Eastern, the average poll conducted over the ...
Governors. Chris Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire (2017–present) [14] State legislators. Bill Gannon, state senator from the 23rd district (2016–2018, 2020–present) [16] 20 state representatives [15] [17] [18] Individuals . Don Bolduc, retired U.S. Army Special Forces brigadier general and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022 [19]