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  2. Output gap - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Output_gap

    The calculation for the output gap is (Y–Y*)/Y* where Y is actual output and Y* is potential output. If this calculation yields a positive number it is called an inflationary gap and indicates the growth of aggregate demand is outpacing the growth of aggregate supply—possibly creating inflation; if the calculation yields a negative number it is called a recessionary gap—possibly ...

  3. Recession - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recession

    The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), an intergovernmental organization, defines a recession as a period of at least two years during which the cumulative output gap reaches at least 2% of GDP, and the output gap is at least 1% for at least one year. [23]

  4. Business cycle - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_cycle

    It then adopts an expansionary policy in the lead up to the next election, hoping to achieve simultaneously low inflation and unemployment on election day. [59] The partisan business cycle suggests that cycles result from the successive elections of administrations with different policy regimes. Regime A adopts expansionary policies, resulting ...

  5. Economic expansion - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_expansion

    An economic expansion is an upturn in the level of economic activity and of the goods and services available. It is a finite period of growth, often measured by a rise in real GDP, that marks a reversal from a previous period, for example, while recovering from a recession.

  6. Top economist explains why she’s sticking with her recession ...

    www.aol.com/finance/top-economist-explains-why...

    On more than one occasion, Lazar forecasted that the U.S. is heading toward a recession. ... Lazar has explained her call stems from the belief that the recessionary impacts of the Fed’s rate ...

  7. National fiscal policy responses to the Great Recession

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_fiscal_policy...

    A statement on the government's website said the State Council had approved a plan to invest 4 trillion yuan in infrastructure and social welfare by the end of 2010. [5] [6] This stimulus, equivalent to US$586 billion, represented a pledge comparable to that subsequently announced by the United States, but which came from an economy only one third the size. [7]

  8. Great Recession - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Recession

    One year after the maximum, in Q1 2010, only seven countries were in recession (Greece, Croatia, Romania, Iceland, Jamaica, Venezuela and Belize). The recession data for the overall G20 zone (representing 85% of all GWP ), depict that the Great Recession existed as a global recession throughout Q3 2008 until Q1 2009.

  9. History of macroeconomic thought - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_macroeconomic...

    Friedman and Phelps used models with no long-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment. Instead of the Phillips curve they used models based on the natural rate of unemployment where expansionary monetary policy can only temporarily shift unemployment below the natural rate. Eventually, firms will adjust their prices and wages for ...