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Polls are typically conducted over a five-day period and aim to gather a random sample of about 1,500 respondents. [15] [16] Responses to polls are weighted with US Census demographic data, adjusting for the variables of age, education, gender, race, and region. [16] Quinnipiac University polls target American adults aged 18 and over.
The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, [538 1] was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver.
Rasmussen Reports polls predicted the correct winner in 46 states. Its final polls of Florida, Indiana and North Carolina all showed leads for McCain. Obama went on to win all three of these states. Rasmussen's poll of Ohio on November 2, 2008, showed a tied race there. Obama went on to win the state by 4 percentage points. [52] [53]
The method of inviting respondents means that invitations are shared by multiple studies, so it is impossible to identify a participation rate for individual studies. Per survey break-off and skip rates and monthly average participation rates are available on individual survey pages.
Interactive maps, databases and real-time graphics from The Huffington Post
Raising Iowa's starting teacher pay from $33,500 to $50,000 gets bipartisan support, but it's higher among Democrats than Republicans, Iowa Poll finds.
The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. [1]
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