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2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head.
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
2024 election guide: Presidential candidates, polls, primaries and caucuses, voter information and results for November 5, 2024.
Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.
Some other recent polls show a tighter race: The vice president had a 49%-47% lead in a Morning Consult survey, a 49%-46% advantage in an ABC/Ipsos poll, a 49%-47% edge in an Economist/YouGov ...
Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
There is a 1-in-100 chance that Trump wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points. See a new scenario. 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign “fundamentals,”...