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The Acertus Market Sentiment Indicator (AMSI) is a stock market sentiment indicator that generates monthly sentiment indications ranging from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed). [1] The indicator views sentiment as a continuum with anxiety and complacency representing less extreme and nuanced forms of fear and greed, respectively.
By comparing the unconditional empirical distribution of daily stock returns to the conditional distribution – conditioned on specific technical indicators such as head-and-shoulders or double-bottoms – we find that over the 31-year sample period, several technical indicators do provide incremental information and may have some practical value.
Greed and fear refer to two opposing emotional states theorized as factors causing the unpredictability and volatility of the stock market, and irrational market behavior inconsistent with the efficient-market hypothesis. Greed and fear relate to an old Wall Street saying: "financial markets are driven by two powerful emotions – greed and fear."
The stock market is having a good year despite headwinds from sticky inflation and high interest rates. The benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has climbed 18%, notching more than three dozen ...
Those qualities make the S&P 500 an excellent benchmark for the overall U.S. stock market. The chart below lists the years in which the S&P 500 returned at least 10% during the first 100 trading days.
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Souk Al-Manakh stock market crash: Aug 1982 Kuwait: Black Monday: 19 Oct 1987 USA: Infamous stock market crash that represented the greatest one-day percentage decline in U.S. stock market history, culminating in a bear market after a more than 20% plunge in the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. Among the primary causes of the chaos ...
It’s worth noting that this stock market predictor has been wrong in the past, too. In 1968, an election year that bore some key similarities to 2024, the S&P 500 climbed almost 6% in the final ...