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Trump opened up a 10-point lead in the Real Clear Politics betting average on Sunday, his largest lead over Harris and the largest lead any candidate has enjoyed since the former president’s 10 ...
The presidential election betting odds gives Donald Trump a 61 percent chance to beat Vice President ... Trump leads Harris by 0.1 percentage points in Real Clear Politics' average of national ...
Like the betting odds, polling averages synthesized by Real Clear Politics have risen about a percentage point in Harris' favor following the Sept. 10 debate. Trump's polling has been largely ...
An article in The New York Times said that "top political analysts" raised concerns about RealClearPolitics polling averages influenced by polls skewing towards Trump and not adhering to "best practices like person-to-person phone interviews" during the 2020 presidential elections. [23]
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Others/ Undecided [a]Margin 270toWin [1]: through November 4, 2024
Political betting markets, ... give Trump an average 54 percent chance to win, with Harris currently at 45 percent. ... they also make it clear that, in the campaign’s final days, Trump is ...
After the conventions, Obama had a clear lead until he did poorly in the first debate. Romney took the lead, and the polls were tied in early and mid-October. The Democrats then regained their momentum but Obama became the first President to win re-election by a narrower margin in both the popular vote and in the Electoral College.
Former President Donald Trump took the lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the betting odds for the White House for the first time since the Sept. 10 presidential debate.