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  2. Autoregressive integrated moving average - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_integrated...

    Seasonal ARIMA models are usually denoted ARIMA(p, d, q)(P, D, Q) m, where the uppercase P, D, Q are the autoregressive, differencing, and moving average terms for the seasonal part of the ARIMA model and m is the number of periods in each season.

  3. Autoregressive moving-average model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_moving...

    Stata includes the function arima. for ARMA and ARIMA models. SuanShu is a Java library of numerical methods that implements univariate/multivariate ARMA, ARIMA, ARMAX, etc models, documented in "SuanShu, a Java numerical and statistical library". SAS has an econometric package, ETS, that estimates ARIMA models. See details.

  4. Box–Jenkins method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Box–Jenkins_method

    Instead, one includes the order of the seasonal terms in the model specification to the ARIMA estimation software. However, it may be helpful to apply a seasonal difference to the data and regenerate the autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation plots. This may help in the model identification of the non-seasonal component of the model.

  5. Autoregressive model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_model

    Together with the moving-average (MA) model, it is a special case and key component of the more general autoregressive–moving-average (ARMA) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models of time series, which have a more complicated stochastic structure; it is also a special case of the vector autoregressive model (VAR), which ...

  6. Moving-average model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moving-average_model

    [1] [2] The moving-average model specifies that the output variable is cross-correlated with a non-identical to itself random-variable. Together with the autoregressive (AR) model, the moving-average model is a special case and key component of the more general ARMA and ARIMA models of time series, [3] which have a more complicated stochastic ...

  7. In an ARIMA model, the integrated part of the model includes the differencing operator (1 − B) (where B is the backshift operator) raised to an integer power.For example,

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  9. Partial autocorrelation function - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Partial_autocorrelation...

    Partial autocorrelation is a commonly used tool for identifying the order of an autoregressive model. [6] As previously mentioned, the partial autocorrelation of an AR(p) process is zero at lags greater than p. [5] [8] If an AR model is determined to be appropriate, then the sample partial autocorrelation plot is examined to help identify the ...