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Polling guru Nate Silver has revealed his final prediction model for the 2024 presidential election – and has concluded the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is “literally closer ...
The national polling average released by Silver on Sunday morning showed Harris over Trump 48.5% to 47.6%. But he cautioned his model doesn’t care about the national polls as much at this stage.
Nate Silver underscored that the 2024 race remains a tight election. PBS. Silver, 46, explained that surveys underestimated Trump’s performance in each of the last two elections because of ...
Prediction fever takes over Trump vs. Harris 2024 election This year, for instance, inflation is a major issue for many voters. The U.S. economy is performing relatively well, but voters aren’t ...
[3] [104] Silver retained the IP of 538's election forecasting model as he left, [105] and in June 2024, released his own election forecasting model at Silver Bulletin, using methodology similar to his model at 538. [3] [106] In June 2024, Silver joined the prediction market startup Polymarket as an advisor. [4]
Nate Silver may be the best-known oddsmaker in the world: He first rose to fame for correctly predicting almost all of the 2008 election and repeating the feat in 2012. And when Hillary Clinton ...
Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 election, with the veteran pollster saying the race is “literally closer ...
Pollster Nate Silver said that a 50/50 forecast for the presidential election means that people should start planning for the possibility that former President Trump takes back the White House in ...