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For example, a lower volatility stock may have an expected (average) return of 7%, with annual volatility of 5%. Ignoring compounding effects, this would indicate returns from approximately negative 3% to positive 17% most of the time (19 times out of 20, or 95% via a two standard deviation rule).
The resulting VIX index formulation provides a measure of market volatility on which expectations of further stock market volatility in the near future might be based. The current VIX index value quotes the expected annualized change in the S&P 500 index over the following 30 days, as computed from options-based theory and current options ...
(Under mean reversion, above-average VIX values tend to be followed by below-average values, and vice-versa; stock returns share the same property.) However, that relationship may be breaking down.
The purpose of Bollinger Bands is to provide a relative definition of high and low prices of a market. By definition, prices are high at the upper band and low at the lower band. This definition can aid in rigorous pattern recognition and is useful in comparing price action to the action of indicators to arrive at systematic trading decisions. [3]
The role of inflation and market volatility in average stock market returns. While understanding the average stock market return is crucial, it’s equally important to consider other factors that ...
The price of this option is influenced by multiple factors, including the stock’s current price, the option’s strike price, time to expiration and implied volatility. If the market expects a ...
A stock market, equity market, or share market is the aggregation of buyers and sellers of stocks (also called shares), which represent ownership claims on businesses; these may include securities listed on a public stock exchange as well as stock that is only traded privately, such as shares of private companies that are sold to investors ...
Volatility is up, and the S&P 500 chalked both its best and worst day of the year this past week. And that you can have both in the span of a few days is an important market lesson.
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