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  2. M21-1 Adjudication Procedures Manual - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M21-1_Adjudication...

    It is not intended to establish substantive rules beyond those contained in statute and regulation.” [4] [5] At the same time, federal courts consult the M-21 Manual to determine if VA's actions conform with their own regulations, policies, and procedures, and to gain insight into the meaning and intent of VA regulations. [6] [7]

  3. Expected value of including uncertainty - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value_of...

    Cost := Value_per_minute_at_home * Time_I_leave_home + (If Time_I_leave_home < Time_from_home_to_gate Then Loss_if_miss_the_plane Else 0) The following graph displays the expected value taking uncertainty into account (the smooth blue curve) to the expected utility ignoring uncertainty, graphed as a function of the decision variable.

  4. Loss reserving - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loss_reserving

    Loss reserving is the calculation of the required reserves for a tranche of insurance business, [1] including outstanding claims reserves.. Typically, the claims reserves represent the money which should be held by the insurer so as to be able to meet all future claims arising from policies currently in force and policies written in the past.

  5. Actuarial reserves - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Actuarial_reserves

    If we sum the discounted expected claims over all years in which a claim could be experienced, we have completed the computation of Actuarial Reserves. In the above example, if there were no expected future claims after year 3, our computation would give Actuarial Reserves of $568,320.38.

  6. Imprecise probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Imprecise_probability

    Uncertainty is traditionally modelled by a probability distribution, as developed by Kolmogorov, [1] Laplace, de Finetti, [2] Ramsey, Cox, Lindley, and many others.However, this has not been unanimously accepted by scientists, statisticians, and probabilists: it has been argued that some modification or broadening of probability theory is required, because one may not always be able to provide ...

  7. Measurement uncertainty - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Measurement_uncertainty

    Relative uncertainty is the measurement uncertainty relative to the magnitude of a particular single choice for the value for the measured quantity, when this choice is nonzero. This particular single choice is usually called the measured value, which may be optimal in some well-defined sense (e.g., a mean, median, or mode). Thus, the relative ...

  8. Three-point estimation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three-point_estimation

    These values are used to calculate an E value for the estimate and a standard deviation (SD) as L-estimators, where: E = (a + 4m + b) / 6 SD = (b − a) / 6. E is a weighted average which takes into account both the most optimistic and most pessimistic estimates provided. SD measures the variability or uncertainty in the estimate.

  9. Condition of average - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Condition_of_average

    Illustration of the partial payout of Sum Insured against probability of occurrence. Condition of average (also called underinsurance [1] in the U.S., or principle of average, [2] subject to average, [3] or pro rata condition of average [4] in Commonwealth countries) is the insurance term used when calculating a payout against a claim where the policy undervalues the sum insured.