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  2. Examples of Markov chains - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Examples_of_Markov_chains

    A state diagram for a simple example is shown in the figure on the right, using a directed graph to picture the state transitions. The states represent whether a hypothetical stock market is exhibiting a bull market, bear market, or stagnant market trend during a given week. According to the figure, a bull week is followed by another bull week ...

  3. Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain

    A continuous-time Markov chain (X t) t ≥ 0 is defined by a finite or countable state space S, a transition rate matrix Q with dimensions equal to that of the state space and initial probability distribution defined on the state space.

  4. Markov model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_model

    In this context, the Markov property indicates that the distribution for this variable depends only on the distribution of a previous state. An example use of a Markov chain is Markov chain Monte Carlo, which uses the Markov property to prove that a particular method for performing a random walk will sample from the joint distribution.

  5. Continuous-time Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Continuous-time_Markov_chain

    A continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) is a continuous stochastic process in which, for each state, the process will change state according to an exponential random variable and then move to a different state as specified by the probabilities of a stochastic matrix. An equivalent formulation describes the process as changing state according to ...

  6. Balance equation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balance_equation

    For a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) with transition rate matrix, if can be found such that for every pair of states and π i q i j = π j q j i {\displaystyle \pi _{i}q_{ij}=\pi _{j}q_{ji}} holds, then by summing over j {\displaystyle j} , the global balance equations are satisfied and π {\displaystyle \pi } is the stationary ...

  7. Stochastic matrix - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stochastic_matrix

    In mathematics, a stochastic matrix is a square matrix used to describe the transitions of a Markov chain. Each of its entries is a nonnegative real number representing a probability. [1] [2]: 10 It is also called a probability matrix, transition matrix, substitution matrix, or Markov matrix.

  8. File:Finance Markov chain example state space.svg - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Finance_Markov_chain...

    You are free: to share – to copy, distribute and transmit the work; to remix – to adapt the work; Under the following conditions: attribution – You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses ...

  9. Markovian arrival process - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markovian_arrival_process

    A Markov arrival process is defined by two matrices, D 0 and D 1 where elements of D 0 represent hidden transitions and elements of D 1 observable transitions. The block matrix Q below is a transition rate matrix for a continuous-time Markov chain. [5]