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  2. Uncertainty quantification - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uncertainty_quantification

    Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the science of quantitative characterization and estimation of uncertainties in both computational and real world applications. It tries to determine how likely certain outcomes are if some aspects of the system are not exactly known.

  3. Measurement uncertainty - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Measurement_uncertainty

    In metrology, measurement uncertainty is the expression of the statistical dispersion of the values attributed to a quantity measured on an interval or ratio scale.. All measurements are subject to uncertainty and a measurement result is complete only when it is accompanied by a statement of the associated uncertainty, such as the standard deviation.

  4. Probability bounds analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_bounds_analysis

    Probability bounds analysis (PBA) is a collection of methods of uncertainty propagation for making qualitative and quantitative calculations in the face of uncertainties of various kinds. It is used to project partial information about random variables and other quantities through mathematical expressions.

  5. Sensitivity analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sensitivity_analysis

    Taking into account uncertainty arising from different sources, whether in the context of uncertainty analysis or sensitivity analysis (for calculating sensitivity indices), requires multiple samples of the uncertain parameters and, consequently, running the model (evaluating the -function) multiple times. Depending on the complexity of the ...

  6. Quantification of margins and uncertainties - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantification_of_margins...

    The characterization of uncertainty supports comparisons of design margins for key system performance metrics to the uncertainty associated with their calculation by the model. QMU supports risk-informed decision-making processes where computational simulation results provide one of several inputs to the decision-making authority.

  7. Three-point estimation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three-point_estimation

    These values are used to calculate an E value for the estimate and a standard deviation (SD) as L-estimators, where: E = (a + 4m + b) / 6 SD = (b − a) / 6. E is a weighted average which takes into account both the most optimistic and most pessimistic estimates provided. SD measures the variability or uncertainty in the estimate.

  8. Here’s the withdrawal rate American retirees need to start ...

    www.aol.com/finance/withdrawal-rate-american...

    Market uncertainty: After years of market turbulence, including fluctuating interest rates and slowing growth projections, retirees face increased risks to their investments.

  9. Uncertainty analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uncertainty_analysis

    In physical experiments uncertainty analysis, or experimental uncertainty assessment, deals with assessing the uncertainty in a measurement.An experiment designed to determine an effect, demonstrate a law, or estimate the numerical value of a physical variable will be affected by errors due to instrumentation, methodology, presence of confounding effects and so on.