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The following graph depicts the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in each swing state in the poll aggregators from March 2020 to the election, with the election results for comparison. Polls by state/district
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
If Biden's three narrowest state victories—Wisconsin, Georgia, and Arizona, all of which he won by less than a percentage point—had gone to Trump, there would have been a tie of 269 electors for each candidate, [326] [327] causing a contingent election to be decided by the House of Representatives, where Trump had the advantage. (Even ...
According to the final batch of major national and state polls, the former vice president is holding a modest but distinct lead over the incumbent president. But the race is significantly tighter ...
With just three months to go until the Nov. 3 nationwide vote, the president appears to be at his lowest point politically.
Polls of the state throughout the campaign indicated a close race, with most organizations considering it either a tossup or leaning towards Biden. Despite this, Trump ultimately won North Carolina with a 49.93% plurality over Biden's 48.59% vote share (a margin of 1.34%).
Wisconsin was ultimately won by Biden by a narrow 0.63% margin over Trump, a far closer margin than expected and the closest margin since 2004. Trump had won the state in 2016 by 0.77% against Hillary Clinton; however, Biden carried the state with a slightly larger margin than Al Gore or John Kerry did in either 2000 or 2004, respectively. Once ...
A new poll shows some trouble for President Biden’s chances against former President Trump in Arizona — a state that Biden carried in 2020. A new CBS News poll found Trump leading Biden by 5 ...