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While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris.. In late October ...
Points Bet have it 58-42, Polymarket has it 56-39 and Smarkets has it 55-41. On July 15, Trump had a 64% chance of winning the election, but then he was running against President Joe Biden.
Polymarket gives Trump even better odds, 51-44. Smarkets has the race at a dead heat, 48-48. The odds swung over the weekend when Trump's odds of winning Pennsylvania went up.
According to Polymarket, the bets came from France. A bet like that would change the market, so Trump's odds, and therefore payout, changed drastically. Polls have it much closer, although Trump ...
Betsson, Bwin, Points Bet, Polymarket and Smarkets now have the race as a pick'em. Betfair gives Trump a 1% edge over Harris, 48% to 47%. Bvoda still has Harris ahead, 51% to 49%.
The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.
The betting markets currently have a slight favor to Trump as the winner of the presidential election, when averaging across two platforms (Betfair and PredictIt), though the odds are much closer ...
Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...