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A federal by-election was held in Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount. Anna Gainey held the seat for the Liberal Party. June 19, 2023: A federal by-election was held in Oxford. Arpan Khanna held the seat for the Conservative Party. June 19, 2023: A federal by-election was held in Portage—Lisgar. Branden Leslie held the seat for the Conservative ...
The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election.
The by-election was considered by some as a "referendum" on Trudeau's premiership. [9] [10] The loss marked the first time Liberals lost a seat that they had held prior to a by-election during the 44th Parliament. [11] In the aftermath of the by-election loss, Wayne Long publicly called on Trudeau to resign, the first Liberal MP to do so. [12]
Trudeau, 51, has defied low polling numbers before, to win three elections, starting in 2015. Last month, the Conservatives led the Liberals 39% to 30%, an Ipsos poll showed.
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau resigned Monday, ahead of general elections later this year in which the ruling Liberal Party is polling badly and amid tensions with President-elect Trump ...
The latest polls by Nanos, Ekos and others show Liberal fortunes have faded as voters have grown fatigued with Trudeau, 49, who has been in power since 2015. Early Canada election call backfires ...
Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight maintains a list of pollsters who conduct surveys in U.S. political elections and assigns each pollster a rating based on its methodology and historical accuracy. [9] Silver also lists the number of polls analyzed for each pollster. [9] Cygnal [10] [11] [12] Elway Research; Emerson College Polling [13]
You can check which is which by looking them up on 538's pollster ratings page. If a pollster has a 3.0 rating, you should take it pretty seriously; if it has a 0.5 rating, it's not very reliable ...