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Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. According to ...
Just before Election Day, national polls indicate a tight presidential race. How accurate are the polls, and when will we know who won?
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
That undershoot of 3 points follows polls in 2020 that underestimated Trump's national margin by 4 points and in 2016 that underestimated his performance by 2 points, according to 538's averages.
The same polls also suggest that Trump may have secured a bigger share of the Latino vote than any Republican since George W. Bush: 45%, up from 32% four years ago. In 2020, Latino men voted for ...
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 47.1% to Trump 44.4% compared to one week ago - Harris 47.1% to Trump at 43.9% and ... These numbers were reflected as of Tuesday ...
538. 0. 404. 134. 269. 269. 134. ... We simulated 5,000 random populations whose voting intentions correspond to poll results in this ... Trump has a 73.3% chance of ...
Here is what the polls and odds are saying as we head into Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 5. ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 47.0% to Trump at 43.7%