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The following graph depicts the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in each swing state in the poll aggregators from March 2020 to the election, with the election results for comparison. Polls by state/district
If Biden's three narrowest state victories—Wisconsin, Georgia, and Arizona, all of which he won by less than a percentage point—had gone to Trump, there would have been a tie of 269 electors for each candidate, [326] [327] causing a contingent election to be decided by the House of Representatives, where Trump had the advantage. (Even ...
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
State or district EV PVI [1] 2016 result 2020 result Cook Oct 28, 2020 [2] Inside Elections Oct 28, 2020 [3] Sabato Nov 2, 2020 [4] Politico Nov 2, 2020 [5] Real Clear Politics Oct 29, 2020 [6] Niskanen Center Sep 15, 2020 [7] CNN Nov 2, 2020 [8] The Economist Nov 3, 2020 [9] CBS News Nov 1, 2020 [10] 270 to Win Nov 3, 2020 [11] ABC News Nov 2 ...
[5] [6] Florida was Trump's state of residency for this election; New York was his home state in 2016. [7] Trump was the first nominee of either major party to be a Florida resident. Biden was selected as the Democratic nominee in the 2020 Florida Democratic presidential primary on March 17, 2020. Before the election, aggregate polls had Biden ...
Although Trump had won the state in 2016 by a narrow margin of 0.72%, Biden was able to reclaim the state, winning it by a similarly narrow 1.16% margin. Because of the way the state counted in-person ballots first, Trump started with a wide lead on election night.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election.The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
This was Trump's narrowest victory in any state, and it was a closer result than his 3.67% margin over Hillary Clinton in 2016 or Mitt Romney's 2.04% margin over Barack Obama in 2012. North Carolina was the only state in the 2020 election in which Trump won with under 50% of the vote.