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  2. Betting markets nailed Trump's decisive win — and it's a good ...

    www.aol.com/betting-markets-nailed-trumps...

    Prediction site founders and researchers have long argued that betting markets are more accurate than traditional polling. This week was the biggest demonstration to back up that claim.

  3. Prediction: Here's What Will Happen With the Stock Market if ...

    www.aol.com/prediction-heres-happen-stock-market...

    However, I'm more confident about predicting what will happen with the stock market if Harris wins. Vice President Kamala Harris. Image source: Official White House photo by Lawrence Jackson.

  4. Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan says he founded the popular ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-ceo-shayne-coplan...

    Since Coplan, 26, founded the crypto-based prediction market platform, Polymarket has raised $70 million, and in September reportedly sought to raise an additional $50 million among the election ...

  5. Trump leads Harris on Robinhood’s new prediction market with ...

    www.aol.com/finance/trump-leads-harris-robinhood...

    While Polymarket cannot operate in the United States, its U.S. election prediction market has amassed almost $3 billion worth of volume and had Trump polling around 58% on Monday.

  6. Manifold (prediction market) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manifold_(prediction_market)

    Manifold, formerly known as Manifold Markets, is an online prediction market platform. [1] [2] Users engage in competitive forecasting using play money called 'mana', as well as 'Sweepcash,' which can be withdrawn for real money, or donated to charity. [3] Topics on Manifold have included the 2024 United States presidential election and the ...

  7. Polymarket favors Trump to win the election. Can the site—and ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-ceo-shayne-coplan...

    Coplan’s site—which is a prediction market that invites users to bet money on a given outcome—foreshadowed major developments in the election. Those include Polymarket predicting President ...

  8. Polymarket - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polymarket

    Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, [3] Polymarket is a prediction market that allows users to gain/lose on the outcome of world events. [4] In January 2022, Polymarket was fined US$1.4 million by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and received a cease and desist order for regulatory violations, including failure to register as a Swap Execution Facility.

  9. Prediction: Here's What Will Happen With the Stock Market If ...

    www.aol.com/prediction-heres-happen-stock-market...

    The stock market performed well during his four years in office, with the S&P 500 soaring 70%. Some investors could base their expectations of a second Trump term on what they saw in his first term.

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