Search results
Results from the WOW.Com Content Network
PredictIt is a New Zealand-based online prediction market that offers exchanges on political and financial events. [1] PredictIt is owned and operated by Victoria University of Wellington [ 2 ] with support from Aristotle, Inc. [ 3 ] The company's office is located in Washington, D.C. [ 4 ] Only United States citizens can bet on the site.
Miller's model centers on the "prices" posted on America's most active political betting site, PredictIT. It's a highly liquid market that trades, on average, 37,000 shares per day.
While polls tell you about how people responded in the recent past, the odds on sites like PredictIt and Polymarket show real-time sentiment and are better for mapping the future, according to Miller.
According to his calculations, Polymarket has the smallest margin of inefficiency at 1.33% compared to 11.08% for PredictIt. PredictIt has a 10% commission on profitable trades and also some ...
Metaculus is a reputation-based prediction website with the ability to make numeric-range or date-range predictions, inspired by SciCast. [43] Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market that uses the USDC stablecoin. PredictIt is a prediction market for political and financial events.
In March 2020, Kine, along with David Rees and Jon Kimball, returned to host the political podcast Election Profit Makers [10] covering the prediction market website PredictIt in the lead up to the 2020 US presidential election. Kine, Rees and Kimball previously hosted Election Profit Makers prior to the 2016 US presidential election.
Discover the latest breaking news in the U.S. and around the world — politics, weather, entertainment, lifestyle, finance, sports and much more.
On PredictIt, the price of a Yes contract is 61 cents for Trump and 42 cents for Harris. Those prices reflect the amount of money a person would need to bet in order to receive a $1 payout. Users ...