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There are many domestic factors affecting the U.S. labor force and employment levels. These include: economic growth; cyclical and structural factors; demographics; education and training; innovation; labor unions; and industry consolidation [2] In addition to macroeconomic and individual firm-related factors, there are individual-related factors that influence the risk of unemployment.
The data for the misery index is obtained from unemployment data published by the U.S. Department of Labor and the Inflation Rate from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The exact methods used for measuring unemployment and inflation have changed over time, although past data is usually normalized so that past and future metrics are comparable.
Prices rose an average of 2.4 percent a year between 1990 and the end of 2019, and inflation coming out of the Great Recession of 2007-2009 proved to be tepid at best despite ultra-low interest rates.
Core inflation is a measure of inflation for a subset of consumer prices that excludes food and energy prices, which rise and fall more than other prices in the short term. The Federal Reserve Board pays particular attention to the core inflation rate to get a better estimate of long-term future inflation trends overall.
The best study of the inflation-unemployment trade-off finds that an increase in unemployment would reduce inflation by about one-third of 1%. Most other studies are in this ballpark.
(Note that a price is the amount of money paid for a unit of a good.) What we have here is a faster increase in price inflation and a decline in the rate of growth in the production of goods. But this is exactly what stagflation is all about, i.e., an increase in price inflation and a fall in real economic growth.
But if you want to remain in the middle class, your income will have to rise over time, due to the effects of inflation. A real-world example can make this reality crystal clear.
The annual percent change in the US Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers is one of the most common metrics for price inflation in the United States. The United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a family of various consumer price indices published monthly by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The most commonly used ...