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Looking at 538’s forecast, the most likely tipping-point state across all scenarios for the 2024 election is Pennsylvania. In 18 out of 100 cases, the Keystone State provides the winning ...
As a first-term governor, he has been able to navigate Pennsylvania’s divided government, and could appeal to constituents in the state’s so-called 'purple' suburbs: Philadelphia's swing blue ...
Many presidential elections have seen most states swing in the same direction. ... According to 538's forecast, ... Governor of Utah, Spencer Cox, speaks to the fans after the final round of the ...
The 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania. Democratic state attorney general Josh Shapiro defeated Republican state senator Doug Mastriano to win his first term in office. Shapiro succeeded Democratic incumbent Tom Wolf, who was term limited.
The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.
The 2022 Pennsylvania state elections took place on November 8, 2022. On that date, the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania held elections for the following offices: Governor and Lieutenant Governor (on one ticket), U.S. Senate , U.S. House of Representatives , Pennsylvania State Senate , Pennsylvania House of Representatives , and various other ...
On Election Day morning, polling data from FiveThirtyEight shows Ohio voters favoring Trump by 8.3%, continuing his momentum from previous weeks. The former president led 52.1% compared to Harris ...
The Pennsylvania Republican Party had a highly successful election, winning every statewide race at both the federal and state levels. They also defeated two Democratic incumbents, Susan Wild and Matt Cartwright, in the 7th and 8th congressional districts, respectively, securing a 10–7 majority in Pennsylvania's House delegation. However ...